Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.000170 0.000188 0.000207 0.000229 0.000254 0.000282 0.000313
2025-09-21 0.000133 0.000159 0.000188 0.000225 0.000270 0.000324 0.000393
2025-09-28 0.000109 0.000137 0.000171 0.000217 0.000276 0.000351 0.000455
2025-10-05 0.000097 0.000127 0.000166 0.000220 0.000294 0.000394 0.000540
2025-10-12 0.000089 0.000120 0.000163 0.000225 0.000314 0.000441 0.000635
2025-10-19 0.000079 0.000111 0.000155 0.000222 0.000321 0.000468 0.000706
2025-10-26 0.000074 0.000106 0.000152 0.000224 0.000337 0.000510 0.000803
2025-11-02 0.000067 0.000099 0.000146 0.000222 0.000344 0.000538 0.000881
2025-11-09 0.000062 0.000094 0.000142 0.000222 0.000354 0.000573 0.000973
2025-11-16 0.000058 0.000089 0.000137 0.000219 0.000360 0.000599 0.001055
2025-11-23 0.000053 0.000082 0.000130 0.000212 0.000358 0.000612 0.001112
2025-11-30 0.000050 0.000079 0.000127 0.000213 0.000368 0.000648 0.001218
2025-12-07 0.000047 0.000077 0.000127 0.000217 0.000386 0.000701 0.001368
2025-12-14 0.000044 0.000073 0.000121 0.000213 0.000389 0.000726 0.001467
2025-12-21 0.000040 0.000067 0.000114 0.000205 0.000383 0.000734 0.001529
2025-12-28 0.000038 0.000065 0.000113 0.000208 0.000398 0.000786 0.001697
2026-01-04 0.000037 0.000064 0.000114 0.000213 0.000419 0.000851 0.001906
2026-01-11 0.000034 0.000061 0.000110 0.000210 0.000422 0.000879 0.002032
2026-01-18 0.000033 0.000060 0.000109 0.000212 0.000437 0.000937 0.002241
2026-01-25 0.000031 0.000057 0.000106 0.000210 0.000442 0.000970 0.002391
2026-02-01 0.000030 0.000055 0.000104 0.000210 0.000451 0.001015 0.002583
2026-02-08 0.000028 0.000053 0.000101 0.000207 0.000455 0.001047 0.002745
2026-02-15 0.000026 0.000050 0.000096 0.000201 0.000448 0.001055 0.002838